Trump Approval Underwater in 39 States After Midterms, Civiqs Tracker Shows

Days after Democrats handed Republicans one of their largest electoral defeats in decades in the November 3, 2026 midterms, President Donald Trump's standing has sunk further. The latest Civiqs state-by-state tracker, reported by USA TODAY on Saturday, November 7, puts his net approval rating in positive territory in only eight states. He is underwater — more voters disapprove than approve — in 39 states, and evenly split at net zero in three more. The numbers come as Democrats close in on their largest House majority since 2008.

Key Points

• President Donald Trump's net approval rating is positive in only eight states, according to the latest Civiqs state-by-state tracker.
• Trump is underwater in 39 states and tied at a net approval rating of zero in three more.
• Wyoming is his strongest state at +17% net approval, while Oklahoma and Kansas are his weakest positive states at just +1%.
• The eight positive states are Arkansas, Idaho, Kansas, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Utah, West Virginia and Wyoming — all states he carried in the past three presidential elections.
• Democrats are within striking distance of 56 Senate seats and on track for 249 House seats, their largest House majority since 2008.

What Happened

The Civiqs tracker paints a stark map. Trump holds a positive net approval rating — approvals minus disapprovals — in just eight of the 50 states. In 39, more voters disapprove than approve; in three, the two sides are exactly even. All eight positive states backed him in the past three presidential elections, showing how far his support has narrowed to his most loyal ground. Wyoming is his strongest state at +17%, while Oklahoma and Kansas are barely above water at just +1%.

The new reading follows the October 31 release, when he was positive in the same eight states but underwater in 42, with none tied. Since then, three states have moved to dead even, Wyoming has risen from +14% to +17%, and Kansas has edged up from even to +1%. But the positive map has not grown: it stood at ten states on October 14, fell to eight by October 23, and has stayed at eight ever since.

Background and Context

The state numbers sit on a bleak run of national polling. Emerson College put his approval at 37% in late October, its lowest reading for him. A New York Times/Siena poll put him at 34%, Reuters/Ipsos at 32% in early October, and AP-NORC at 31% at the start of October. The pattern is consistent: support deep in a few states, thin or negative almost everywhere else.

The midterms turned polls into results. Democrats swept Congress on November 3, flipping more than 40 House seats, seven Senate seats and five governor's mansions. Among the highest-profile gains were historically Republican Senate seats in Texas, South Carolina, Iowa and Kansas, where Democrats had not won since the 1930s. As of November 6, Democrats were within striking distance of 56 Senate seats, with Alaska and Mississippi still too close to call, and on track for 249 House seats, with more than 20 races uncalled.

Trump Approval by State: Where the President Stands

His eight positive states — Arkansas, Idaho, Kansas, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Utah, West Virginia and Wyoming — sit in the Mountain West, the Plains and Appalachia. Even there, margins are thin: Kansas and Oklahoma at +1% mean his approval is effectively a coin flip in two states he won comfortably in all three of his presidential campaigns.

Outside that core, the picture is uniformly negative. The previous release showed him deeply underwater even in reliably red territory — Kentucky at -13%, South Carolina at -10% — and in swing Senate states such as Alaska at -25%, Michigan at -26%, Maine at -29%, North Carolina at -18%, Ohio at -18% and Texas at -20%. Democrats flipped Senate seats in Texas and South Carolina, where his standing had already turned sharply negative before polling day.

Reactions and the Midterm Verdict

USA TODAY's assessment of the new tracker is blunt: "Trump's unpopularity continues to grow in several states he carried in the 2024 presidential election, with Nov. 3's electoral drubbing only the latest example of his continued fall in the polls." The report describes a president who, rather than seeing a slew of bad approval polls like in other recent weeks, "instead got an electoral bashing, with his Republican Party seeing one of its worst nights in recent history."

The voters delivered the verdict the polls had pointed to: control of both chambers and a wave of state gains, a rebuke in states he carried in 2024 as well as the battlegrounds. The tracker suggests it was not a one-night mood but a standing eroding for months.

Why It Matters

A president underwater in 39 states governs with a narrow base and a hostile Congress. With Democrats set to control the House and a Senate majority within reach of 56 seats, his legislative agenda will depend on an opposition just rewarded at the ballot box for standing against it. The map also shapes 2028: a Republican successor would inherit a standard-bearer who is a net negative in nearly four-fifths of the country.

The numbers matter inside the party too. The midterms produced a blame game over candidate selection, and a tracker showing the president himself underwater in 39 states gives that argument a harder edge.

What Happens Next

More than 20 House races are still to be called, along with the Senate contests in Alaska and Mississippi, so the final size of the Democratic majorities is not yet set. The tracker will keep updating, and the next release will show whether the midterm result moved his numbers further, or whether the three states at zero tip back into negative territory. For the White House, the question is how to govern from the position the tracker lays bare: approval positive in only eight states, facing a Congress controlled by the party that just beat him.

Read more: Trump Approval in Only 8 States Days Before Midterms, Civiqs Tracker Shows; Trump Approval Rating Hits New Low at 37% in Emerson Poll Before Midterms; NBC News Final Poll: Democrats Lead 52-45 as Trump Disapproval Hits 60%.

Frequently Asked Questions

How many states is Trump underwater in?

Negative in 39 states, positive in eight, exactly even in three, per the Civiqs tracker reported November 7, 2026.

In which states is Trump's approval still positive?

Arkansas, Idaho, Kansas, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Utah, West Virginia and Wyoming — all backed him in the past three presidential elections.

What is Trump's strongest and weakest state?

Wyoming is strongest at +17% net approval; Oklahoma and Kansas are weakest among the positives, each at +1%.

How does this compare with the last Civiqs tracker?

On October 31 he was positive in the same eight states but underwater in 42, with none tied. Since then three states moved to even, Wyoming rose from +14% to +17%, and Kansas moved from even to +1%.

What happened in the 2026 midterms?

Democrats won Congress on November 3, flipping 40-plus House seats and seven Senate seats, and were on track for 249 House seats, their largest House majority since 2008.